Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $1,388·Volume $10.0K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$552
Smart money entered100¢99¢at 00:19(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,388
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$552 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $516 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $120 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $282 |