Spread: Western Michigan (-15.5)
ActiveLiquidity $16.4K·Volume $18·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Western Michigan49%Akron51%
Smart money leans
Western Michigan
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
63%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$22.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$24.4K
72h +$24.4K
Smart money entered51¢51¢at 22:23(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 37m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$16.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Western Michigan", with $22.9K riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $22.9K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$24.4K, +$24.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Western Michigan | 52¢ | $1,585 |
| 2h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Western Michigan | 52¢ | $1,585 |
| 2h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Western Michigan | 52¢ | $1,756 |
| 2h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Western Michigan | 51¢ | $9,690 |
| 2h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Akron | 49¢ | $282 |
| 3h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Akron | 49¢ | $42 |
| 4h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Western Michigan | 51¢ | $5,100 |
| 4h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Akron | 49¢ | $79 |
| 4h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Akron | 49¢ | $4,576 |
| 4h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Akron | 49¢ | $4,821 |
| 4h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Western Michigan | 51¢ | $5,100 |