Spread: San Diego State (-14.5)
ActiveLiquidity $4,158·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:San Diego State71%Utah State29%
Smart money leans
Utah State
29% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.7pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
29%price31%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$593 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$742
72h +$742
Smart money entered43¢29¢at 07:33(0% priced in)Edge left+1.7ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$4,158
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Utah State", with $593 riding on it.
The price of 29% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 29¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $593 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$742, +$742 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Utah State | 43¢ | $660 |
| 3h ago | shoemanhereTop | Buy | Utah State | 43¢ | $220 |
| 3h ago | shoemanhereTop | Buy | Utah State | 43¢ | $220 |