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Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 69.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $3,126·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over91%Under9%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Over
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$954 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,479
72h +$2,479
Smart money entered52¢52¢at 07:32(19% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$3,126
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $954 riding on it.

The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 19% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $954 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,479, +$2,479 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoSleepingChickenMidBuyUnder36¢$0
1h agoSleepingChickenMidBuyUnder36¢$0
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver63¢$484
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver51¢$6
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver51¢$1
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver51¢$1
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver51¢$531
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver51¢$125
1h agoprimmMidBuyOver46¢$230
2h agoprimmMidBuyOver46¢$354
2h ago0xd798…59c6MidBuyOver56¢$6
2h ago0xd798…59c6MidBuyOver56¢$6
2h agoprimmMidBuyOver56¢$459
2h agoprimmMidBuyOver56¢$459
2h ago0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846MidBuyOver56¢$140
2h ago0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846MidBuyOver56¢$140
2h agoprimmMidBuyOver47¢$12
2h agoprimmMidBuyOver47¢$12