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Spread: Indiana (-8.5)

ActiveLiquidity $201.0K·Volume $12.4K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Indiana54%USC47%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:51computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Indiana
53% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.8pp
model above price
Consensus
71%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
53%price53%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,378 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,248
72h +$3,853
Smart money entered50¢53¢at 01:51(25% priced in)Edge left+0.8ppLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 17h 38m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$201.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Indiana", with $3,378 riding on it.

The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 25% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,378 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,248, +$3,853 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:51
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
11h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
11h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
14h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$3
19h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$2,899
21h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
21h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
21h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$3
21h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$3
22h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$24
22h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$24
23h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$5
23h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$8
23h agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$8
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$38
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$38
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$3
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$3
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$96
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$96
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$5
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$5
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$72
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$10
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$48
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$14
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$19
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$97
1d agojustwinsTopBuyIndiana50¢$97
2d agoimjustkenisgheyMidBuyUSC47¢$2,179