Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
ActiveLiquidity $201.0K·Volume $12.4K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Indiana54%USC47%
Smart money leans
Indiana
53% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.8pp
model above price
Consensus
71%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
53%price53%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,378 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,248
72h +$3,853
Smart money entered50¢53¢at 01:51(25% priced in)Edge left+0.8ppLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 17h 38m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$201.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Indiana", with $3,378 riding on it.
The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 25% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,378 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,248, +$3,853 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 11h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $3 |
| 19h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $2,899 |
| 21h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 21h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 21h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $3 |
| 21h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $3 |
| 22h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $24 |
| 22h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $24 |
| 23h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $5 |
| 23h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $8 |
| 23h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $38 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $38 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $72 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $48 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $97 |
| 1d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Indiana | 50¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | USC | 47¢ | $2,179 |