Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
ActiveLiquidity $27.6K·Volume $157·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Indiana53%USC48%
Smart money leans
USC
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
92%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,952 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,227
Smart money entered45¢48¢at 05:17(46% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 38h 13m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$27.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "USC", with $4,952 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 46% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,952 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,227 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | USC | 45¢ | $4,477 |
| 1d ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | USC | 45¢ | $405 |
| 1d ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | USC | 45¢ | $65 |
| 1d ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | USC | 46¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Indiana | 53¢ | $217 |