Spread: New Mexico (-18.5)
ActiveLiquidity $122.1K·Volume $4,744·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:New Mexico1%UNLV100%
Smart money leans
UNLV
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$673
72h +$673
Smart money entered54¢100¢at 06:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$122.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "UNLV", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$673, +$673 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 52¢ | $1,917 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 47¢ | $88 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 47¢ | $88 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 46¢ | $3 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 46¢ | $151 |
| 16h ago | sportmaster777Mid | Buy | UNLV | 54¢ | $365 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 46¢ | $4 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 46¢ | $91 |