Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
ActiveLiquidity $98.8K·Volume $13.2K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:New Mexico0%UNLV100%
Smart money leans
UNLV
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$18.8K
72h +$18.8K
Smart money entered46¢100¢at 06:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$98.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "UNLV", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$18.8K, +$18.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | primmMid | Buy | UNLV | 27¢ | $348 |
| 6h ago | primmMid | Buy | UNLV | 31¢ | $469 |
| 6h ago | primmMid | Buy | UNLV | 31¢ | $469 |
| 7h ago | Bagwell306Mid | Buy | New Mexico | 56¢ | $391 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 54¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 53¢ | $319 |
| 16h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 52¢ | $296 |
| 1d ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | New Mexico | 45¢ | $43 |