Spread: Air Force (-12.5)
ActiveLiquidity $117.8K·Volume $20.3K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Air Force100%San Jose State0%
Smart money leans
Air Force
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$952
72h +$660
Smart money entered56¢100¢at 06:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$117.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Air Force", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$952, +$660 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105Mid | Buy | Air Force | 99¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Air Force | 56¢ | $272 |
| 7h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Air Force | 56¢ | $272 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Air Force | 55¢ | $80 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Air Force | 55¢ | $80 |
| 16h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | San Jose State | 44¢ | $3,028 |
| 17h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | San Jose State | 44¢ | $137 |
| 1d ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | San Jose State | 49¢ | $121 |