Spread: Miami (OH) (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $15.0K·Volume $486·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Miami (OH)45%Ohio56%
Smart money leans
Ohio
55% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.6pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price57%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,357 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,357
72h +$2,357
Smart money entered56¢55¢at 22:02(0% priced in)Edge left+1.6ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 1h 57m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$15.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Ohio", with $2,357 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,357 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,357, +$2,357 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | big8betzTop | Buy | Ohio | 56¢ | $2,400 |