Spread: Ohio (-1.5)
ActiveLiquidity $15.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Ohio49%Miami (OH)52%
Smart money leans
Miami (OH)
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.4pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$5,100 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$10.3K
72h +$10.3K
Smart money entered51¢52¢at 21:58(5% priced in)Edge left+0.4ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 2h 1m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$15.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Miami (OH)", with $5,100 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 5% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,100 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$10.3K, +$10.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Miami (OH) | 51¢ | $5,100 |
| 3h ago | FeedTheBigBirdMid | Buy | Miami (OH) | 51¢ | $5,100 |