Spread: Ohio State (-12.5)
ActiveLiquidity $34.8K·Volume $5,694·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Ohio State56%Northwestern45%
Smart money leans
Northwestern
45% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
45%price45%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,518 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,518
72h +$2,518
Smart money entered47¢45¢at Nov 12, 23:43(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy16h agoResolvesin 40h 17m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$34.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Northwestern", with $2,518 riding on it.
The price of 45% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 45¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,518 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,518, +$2,518 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 12, 23:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | Northwestern | 44¢ | $5 |
| 23h ago | imjustkenisgheyMid | Buy | Northwestern | 47¢ | $2,654 |