Spread: Louisiana (-13.5)
ActiveLiquidity $8,652·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Louisiana100%Louisiana-Monroe0%
Smart money leans
Louisiana
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$891 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,629
72h +$1,629
Smart money entered48¢65¢at 05:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$8,652
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Louisiana", with $891 riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $891 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,629, +$1,629 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Louisiana | 71¢ | $993 |
| 1h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Louisiana | 51¢ | $599 |
| 2h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Louisiana | 43¢ | $43 |
| 2h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Louisiana | 43¢ | $43 |
| 2h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Louisiana | 44¢ | $249 |
| 2h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Louisiana | 44¢ | $249 |