Spread: UCLA (-5.5)
ActiveLiquidity $4,746·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:UCLA100%Illinois0%
Smart money leans
Illinois
27% at snapshot
Divergence
+2.6pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
27%price30%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$441 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$662
72h +$662
Smart money entered92¢27¢at 06:06(0% priced in)Edge left+2.6ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$4,746
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Illinois", with $441 riding on it.
The price of 27% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 27¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $441 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$662, +$662 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 89¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 89¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $161 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $254 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $333 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $254 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $161 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $333 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $37 |
| 1h ago | 0x6051…3fcdMid | Buy | Illinois | 92¢ | $708 |