US Castanet to score first vs. Balma SC?
ActiveLiquidity $332·Volume $35·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$387
72h +$387
Smart money entered87¢100¢at 04:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$332
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$387, +$387 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.