Spread: Baylor Bears (-19.5)
ActiveLiquidity $11.2K·Volume $5,706·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Baylor Bears43%Yale Bulldogs57%
Smart money leans
Yale Bulldogs
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,346 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,691
72h +$3,691
Smart money entered49¢48¢at 01:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yale Bulldogs", with $1,346 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,346 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,691, +$3,691 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | gagarin59Mid | Buy | Yale Bulldogs | 48¢ | $1,000 |
| 1h ago | gagarin59Mid | Buy | Yale Bulldogs | 48¢ | $1,000 |
| 5h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Yale Bulldogs | 50¢ | $1,402 |
| 5h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Yale Bulldogs | 50¢ | $1,402 |