Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-25.5)
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $10.2K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:West Virginia Mountaineers46%Mercer Bears55%
Smart money leans
West Virginia Mountaineers
45% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
89%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
45%price45%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,954 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,954
72h +$1,954
Smart money entered49¢45¢at 18:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 4h 8m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "West Virginia Mountaineers", with $1,954 riding on it.
The price of 45% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 45¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,954, +$1,954 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 54¢ | $180 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 53¢ | $112 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 48¢ | $690 |
| 3h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 48¢ | $586 |
| 3h ago | ic4creamMid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 48¢ | $266 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 49¢ | $714 |
| 3h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 48¢ | $95 |
| 3h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 49¢ | $98 |
| 3h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 49¢ | $65 |
| 3h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 51¢ | $101 |
| 3h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 49¢ | $98 |
| 3h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 49¢ | $65 |
| 3h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 51¢ | $67 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mercer Bears | 42¢ | $188 |
| 4h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | West Virginia Mountaineers | 58¢ | $193 |