Will Cameron Ward have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $546·Volume $3,141·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes18%No82%
Smart money leans
No
82% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$271 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢82¢at 05:15(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$546
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $271 riding on it.
The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $271 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $28 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $41 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $217 |