Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $131·Volume $731·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes54%No46%
Smart money leans
Yes
54% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
54%price54%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$267 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$216
Smart money entered58¢54¢at 05:05(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$131
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $267 riding on it.
The price of 54% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 54¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $267 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$216 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $64 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $34 |