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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:56Smart money exiting · $931 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$296 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$234
72h -$234
Smart money entered62¢99¢at 06:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$12.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Not enough history yet
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $296 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 62¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "Down" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $296 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$234, -$234 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:56
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterMidBuyUp15¢$2
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown83¢$8
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyUp14¢$1
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyUp14¢$0
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterMidBuyUp15¢$2
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown83¢$6
1h ago0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMidSellDown94¢$26
1h ago0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMidSellDown94¢$26
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp12¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp13¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown89¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown90¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown91¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown91¢$32
1h agoohioismTopBuyDown89¢$22
1h agoohioismTopBuyDown89¢$22
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown87¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown85¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown88¢$8
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown86¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown88¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown88¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown87¢$26
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown87¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown88¢$18
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown88¢$0
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown87¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown87¢$30
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown87¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown80¢$4
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp29¢$0
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp29¢$7
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown71¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp31¢$2
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp31¢$11
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp32¢$2
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp32¢$11
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown72¢$18
1h agomachine-earningMidSellUp30¢$2
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown71¢$18
1h ago0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMidSellDown82¢$18
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown83¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown82¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown82¢$10
1h agoBossgirlTopBuyDown82¢$8
1h agoBossgirlTopBuyDown82¢$5
1h agoBossgirlTopBuyDown82¢$8
1h agoBossgirlTopBuyDown82¢$5
1h agoohioismTopBuyUp20¢$0
1h agoohioismTopBuyUp20¢$0