Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $14·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:56Smart money exiting · $850 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,158 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$410
72h +$410
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 06:56Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $1,158 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Up" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$410, +$410 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 1h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 91¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $32 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 88¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $32 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 88¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 88¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 88¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $26 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMid | Sell | Up | 86¢ | $55 |
| 1h ago | 0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMid | Sell | Up | 86¢ | $55 |