Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.4K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,475
72h +$1,475
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$12.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,475, +$1,475 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $184 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $22 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,462 |
| 3h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $58 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $115 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $77 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $28 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $29 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $23 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 57¢ | $3 |