Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$14.3K
72h +$14.3K
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 05:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$12.6K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$14.3K, +$14.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:50