Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,940
72h +$7,940
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:50Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,940, +$7,940 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $199 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $46 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $199 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $153 |
| 6h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $508 |
| 6h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,490 |
| 6h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $508 |
| 6h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,490 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $297 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $38 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $352 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $579 |
| 6h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $396 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $114 |
| 6h ago | 0xd749…9b2cMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 6h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 6h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $43 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $33 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $12 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $12 |