Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,083
72h +$2,083
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$12.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,083, +$2,083 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0xd749…9b2cMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 6h ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $32 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 11¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $11 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 92¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 92¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $85 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $37 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $0 |