Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,645
72h +$2,645
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$14.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,645, +$2,645 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0xd749…9b2cMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $33 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $12 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 15¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 16¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 15¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 16¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $11 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 83¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 83¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 82¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 82¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 83¢ | $28 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 80¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 80¢ | $24 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 79¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 79¢ | $28 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 79¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 85¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | 0x5916ce250c0b3e32eed3303ffb2938cab0b42a0bMid | Sell | Down | 84¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 11¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 11¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $32 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 10¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 85¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 16¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 17¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 18¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 11¢ | $1 |