Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
55%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,271
72h +$2,271
Smart money entered73¢0.0¢at 05:12Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,271, +$2,271 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Down | 10¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Down | 14¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Down | 14¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 84¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 84¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 83¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 83¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 83¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $999 |
| 3h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $999 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Down | 50¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Down | 48¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 51¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 51¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x75dc…6a1dMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $100 |
| 3h ago | 0x75dc…6a1dMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $100 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Down | 52¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 50¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | porkypie12Mid | Sell | Up | 51¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0xe419…8aedMid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $25 |