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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $15.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:00computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,351
72h +$8,351
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$15.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,351, +$8,351 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyUp99¢$990
2h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$693
2h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyUp99¢$990
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1,606
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$99
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$5
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$307
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$228
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$7
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$8
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$14
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$5
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$495
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$311
2h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$48
2h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp99¢$40
2h ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyUp99¢$1,484
2h ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$2
2h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$373
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown45¢$1
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown39¢$9
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown39¢$20
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown45¢$45
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp54¢$30
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$12
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown60¢$8
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$13
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp35¢$16
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp46¢$17
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp35¢$18
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp50¢$12
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown67¢$5
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown64¢$80
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp40¢$24
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp30¢$12
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp34¢$14
2h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown22¢$2
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown14¢$1
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown14¢$2
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown14¢$2
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown14¢$0
2h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown11¢$2
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown10¢$3
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp85¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp85¢$4
2h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp75¢$4