Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $15.7K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,126
72h +$3,126
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 03:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$15.7K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,126, +$3,126 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $132 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $103 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $986 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $22 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $44 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $1 |