Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $18.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,658
72h +$1,658
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$18.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,658, +$1,658 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $577 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $14 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,484 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $71 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 11¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $32 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $61 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $61 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 70¢ | $13 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 70¢ | $13 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 56¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $79 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $79 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $48 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $48 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $5 |