Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,666
72h +$4,666
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,666, +$4,666 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $199 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $106 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,921 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,921 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 67¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 67¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $13 |
| 3h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $13 |