Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $16.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,625
72h +$4,625
Smart money entered81¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$16.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,625, +$4,625 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00