Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,450
72h +$9,450
Smart money entered92¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$17.8K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,450, +$9,450 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $255 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $255 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $179 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $179 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $36 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $36 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $51 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,200 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $164 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $51 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $36 |
| 5h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $35 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 33¢ | $1 |