Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.4K·Volume $30·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,698
72h +$6,698
Smart money entered96¢99¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.4K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,698, +$6,698 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $90 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $287 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1,340 |
| 5h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $130 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $19 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,422 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $21 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $21 |
| 5h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $999 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $19 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $19 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $26 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $11 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $26 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $5 |