Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,623
72h +$5,623
Smart money entered87¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.7K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,623, +$5,623 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,483 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 10¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 10¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $36 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $36 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $28 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $999 |
| 5h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $999 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $25 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $25 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $30 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $6 |