Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,051
72h +$3,051
Smart money entered69¢99¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,051, +$3,051 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $18 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $18 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $48 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $48 |
| 6h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $48 |
| 6h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 69¢ | $28 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $11 |
| 6h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $0 |