Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $19.3K·Volume $50·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,372
72h +$1,372
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 03:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$19.3K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,372, +$1,372 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $616 |
| 8h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 8h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $18 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $126 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 8h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 8h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $14 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 8h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $79 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $12 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $4 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $34 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $14 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $4 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 75¢ | $9 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $12 |
| 8h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $34 |
| 8h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $6 |