Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,492
72h +$6,492
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.9K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,492, +$6,492 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $471 |
| 6h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $471 |
| 6h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $284 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $297 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $50 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,490 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,490 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 6h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $40 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $34 |
| 6h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $34 |
| 6h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $7 |