Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.0K·Volume $49·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.1K
72h +$12.1K
Smart money entered92¢99¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$14.0K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.1K, +$12.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52