Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,427
72h +$7,427
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,427, +$7,427 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 7h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 87¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 87¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $12 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $15 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $12 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $15 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 68¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $11 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $8 |