Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.3K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$11.7K
72h +$11.7K
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.3K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$11.7K, +$11.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $60 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $342 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $15 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $38 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $37 |
| 7h ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $316 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,005 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $316 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,005 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $999 |
| 7h ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $999 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 68¢ | $17 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 68¢ | $17 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $13 |