Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $15.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,879
72h +$8,879
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$15.4K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,879, +$8,879 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $52 |
| 7h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $102 |
| 7h ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $716 |
| 7h ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $716 |
| 7h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $3,447 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $3,447 |
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $69 |
| 7h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $69 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 66¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 60¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $117 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $8 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $3 |