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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $13.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$700
72h +$700
Smart money entered60¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$700, +$700 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
7h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$5
7h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$1
7h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$5
7h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$66
7h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$55
7h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.0¢$1
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$83
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp92¢$70
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$33
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp70¢$46
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp46¢$14
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp46¢$14
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown72¢$18
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown72¢$18
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp56¢$45
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp56¢$45
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp46¢$4
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp46¢$4
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp47¢$3
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp32¢$4
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp34¢$2
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp34¢$5
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp33¢$3
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp34¢$1
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp34¢$3
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp36¢$3
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp37¢$3
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$31
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$18
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$6
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$2
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$2
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$38
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$1
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$1
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$3
7h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp41¢$1
7h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp41¢$1
7h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp47¢$19
7h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp47¢$19
7h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp46¢$1
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown39¢$1
7h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown34¢$11
7h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown34¢$11
7h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown33¢$0
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp77¢$8
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp77¢$8
7h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown18¢$3
7h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp70¢$14
7h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown40¢$10