Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,371
72h +$4,371
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$14.0K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,371, +$4,371 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $163 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $377 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $177 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 8h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,018 |
| 8h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 8h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 8h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $12 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $12 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $8 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $8 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $11 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $20 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $20 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $11 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $218 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $7 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |