Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $18.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$235 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,786
72h +$1,786
Smart money entered85¢99¢at 17:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$18.5K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $235 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,786, +$1,786 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $254 |
| 1h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $39 |
| 1h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 3.5¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 3.5¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 68¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 68¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 52¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $5 |