Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$4,546 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,311
72h +$9,311
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 17:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$14.6K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $4,546 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,311, +$9,311 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $614 |
| 1h ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $48 |
| 1h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $679 |
| 1h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,746 |
| 1h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $322 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $164 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $498 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $300 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,475 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,475 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $212 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $212 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $186 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $302 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $38 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 79¢ | $9 |