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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $22.3K·Volume $10·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:58computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$238 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,945
72h +$3,945
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 17:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$22.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $238 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,945, +$3,945 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:58
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp99¢$32
1h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp99¢$8
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown5.7¢$25
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown5.7¢$25
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$3,465
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$3,465
1h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown13¢$4
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown13¢$0
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown13¢$0
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown13¢$0
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown9.0¢$2
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown9.0¢$2
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp94¢$9
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown7.0¢$3
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp94¢$24
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown5.0¢$1
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp96¢$14
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp96¢$0
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp96¢$94
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp96¢$7
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp96¢$5
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$3
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$16
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp60¢$4
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp60¢$15
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp60¢$5
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp55¢$17
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown50¢$10
2h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown39¢$1
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown35¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown27¢$3
2h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown22¢$10
2h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown26¢$10
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown21¢$1
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown21¢$3
2h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown21¢$1
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$2
2h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown35¢$10
2h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown36¢$10
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp62¢$2
2h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$31
2h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$3
2h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$5
2h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$3
2h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$31
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp62¢$4
2h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$5
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp62¢$3
2h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp66¢$23