Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $15.4K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,613
72h +$6,613
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 17:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$15.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,613, +$6,613 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $140 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,946 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,946 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | ply-pm4Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $86 |
| 2h ago | ply-pm4Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $86 |
| 2h ago | ply-pm4Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | ply-pm4Mid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | ply-pm4Mid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $90 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $90 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | ply-pm4Mid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 28¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 28¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 66¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 66¢ | $8 |