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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $22.0K·Volume $30·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 16:58computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,491
72h +$3,491
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 16:58(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$22.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,491, +$3,491 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$26
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$182
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$26
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$15
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$8
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$4
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$16
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$27
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$9
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$454
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$2,590
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$2,590
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$33
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$99
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown5.0¢$0
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown5.0¢$2
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown5.0¢$0
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown5.0¢$0
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown5.0¢$5
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown5.0¢$5
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown5.0¢$0
1h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$4
1h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$5
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp82¢$8
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp63¢$8
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp64¢$3
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp65¢$6
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp66¢$8
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp63¢$8
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown37¢$4
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp63¢$8
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown37¢$4
1h agoviniangussoTopBuyDown30¢$23
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown32¢$19
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown31¢$23
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown31¢$23
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown32¢$19
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown33¢$2
1h agoviniangussoTopBuyDown30¢$23
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown25¢$3
1h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown25¢$3
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$17
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown34¢$2
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown34¢$10
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown36¢$54
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown34¢$2
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown36¢$14
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown34¢$10
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown34¢$4