Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $15.0K·Volume $184·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,678
72h +$6,678
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 16:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$15.0K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,678, +$6,678 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $183 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $118 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $517 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $378 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $54 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $56 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $105 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $719 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $72 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $118 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $719 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |